The 6-4 Islanders have stepped up their play lately and have been finding the back of the net regularly, but have not been defending to their norm. The Capitals are still a scoring threat, but are giving up goals at an alarming rate, 4+ GA on average in their last 8 games. Seven of ten of the Isles' games and a full nine of ten Caps' games have gone over today's total. Sorokin was great in his last start but has been more uneven of late than we have come to expect. Caps' goalie Kuemper has allowed 4 goals in three of his last four starts. The Islanders played poorly vs the Capitals last time out and are still on the dance card for the play-offs, so look for a better effort today. The over is 4-1 when these two teams have met recently. With the low total available, I expect a similar result today. Go for the over.