I don’t see any reason why the Orioles don’t roll in tonight’s series opener against the Royals. They are simply the better team and have the edge on the mound - both in terms of the starting pitching matchup and the bullpen.

Baltimore comes into Tuesday with a 19-9 overall record. Across baseball, only Tampa Bay and Pittsburgh have a better win percentage. Going back to 2021, the O’s are 8-0 as road favorites of -125 to -175. Five of those wins have come this season.

Since the start of last season, the Orioles have been the most profitable team to bet on.

On the flip side, you’ve got Kansas City, a team that is just 1-12 at home this year including 0-7 as a dog of +125 to +175.

Wells is going for Baltimore. Over his last three starts, he has a 2.50 ERA and 0.833 WHIP and the team is 3-0. Yarbrough had a decent first start for KC, but this team’s bullpen is horrendous (5.26 ERA and 1.42 WHIP). The Orioles are top five in bullpen ERA and WHIP. 10*