The Heat won by 19 in Game 3, but it was pretty terrible shooting all-around as both teams shot below 40% from the field and 22% from three. It’s difficult to imagine that level of shooting being repeated, so I’m definitely looking for more scoring tonight in Game 4.

One player we can count on to score is Jimmy Butler. Ironically, the Heat standout missed Game 2 and that was the one game in this series that has gone Over. But Butler has scored 25 points in each of his last nine games played and he had 30 in all but one game in the first round vs. Milwaukee.

Game 3 marked the first time all postseason that Butler didn’t shoot 50% from the field.

Each of the Knicks’ top three players (Barrett, Brunson, Randle) underperformed in the last game and they were a combined 2 of 17 from three. At least one player from that group is going to shoot much better tonight, if not all three.

Miami is 4-0 to the Over when leading the series this postseason. 10*