Both the Cubs’ Stroman and the Mets’ Senga had two strong outings and one weak outing in May. They are both averaging a little over 5 innings/start and their May ERAs are comparable. Stroman’s overall stats are better (although his win record isn’t) as he had a scorching start to the season and he has many more years experience than Senga so the edge has to go to Stroman. Their bullpens have almost identical ERAs and WHIPs for May although the Mets bullpen is maybe a little more rested.

But this is a night game and the Cubs’ batters are 1st and 3rd in the majors for average and OPS at night. The Mets are way down in the twenties. And the clincher, the Mets are 0-4 in their last 4 against the Cubs (20-41 in their last 61).

The Cubs’ bats have been hot for the last 15 days as they are 4th in the majors in OPS while the Mets are 15th.

So whether Senga or Stroman have one of their strong outings or a weaker one, both bullpens are capable of picking up the slack but the Cubs’ bats are almost certain to carry the day. The Cubs are the pick.