Probable pitcher Ober is working on a solid season. His 2.61 ERA and .97 WHIP are well earned. He has been in some very low scoring pitching duels. 14 of his last 15 starts have been under totals. The Brewers probable pitcher Rea is a step below with a 4.47 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. 3 of his last 15 starts have seen him leave in the 3rd inning and 6 have been over totals.

Reas’ bullpen has struggled over the last 10 games with a 6.25 ERA while the Twins’ bullpen has had an ERA of 2.93. At home the Twins’ bullpen has a 2.93 ERA while the Brewers’ bullpen has a 4.42 ERA on the road. All this leads to a lot of innings of higher scoring for the Twins. Expect them to win and cover the spread of -1.5.