Probable pitchers Suarez for the Phillies and Kelly for the D-backs are putting together solid seasons. They just haven’t been able to do it against each others’ teams. It might have to do with the power both teams display at the plate as of late. In the last 15 days, D-backs are 2nd in OPS and 6th in avg. while the Phillies are 8th and 4th respectively over the same time period. Suarez’s last 3 starts against the D-backs has resulted in 13 runs against the Phillies in two of them and 5 in the other; both with totals well over 8.5. Kelly’s last start against the Tigers ended up with a total of 17!

The Phillies avg 4.98 runs/9 against this season while the D-backs avg 5.29 runs/9 for this season. Quick math; that’s a total of 10.27 runs/9 when combined. The D-backs average 5.4 runs against LH starters while the Phillies avg. 4.7 runs against RH starters. It all adds up to a total well over 8.5. Take the over for the win.