The Twins are at home to the 1-9 Tigers today. They have won four of five games, stand third in runs allowed, and have a fine starter on the mound. Sonny Gray has yet to give up more than three runs in thirteen starts this year. He is particularly tough at home (1.71 ERA) and has given up just one home run to date. Not that Detroit is know for the long ball. They are dead last in runs scored this year. They also have pitching woes, with a combined ERA of 5.94 in their last ten games.

The Tigers lost both ends of a double header on Wednesday. Add in travel, and you have a very tired team. Today's Tigers starter lefty Matthew Boyd (5.55 ERA) has had a few good starts but most of them have been similar to his last one, giving up five runs over five innings. The Twins are heavily and legitimately favored. While not the hottest offense, they are a very good home team. I believe they will beat up a demoralized Tigers team today. Take Minnesota on the run line at -1 1/2. 9 stars!