Both of the probable starters, Lynch for the Royals and Lorenzen for the Tigers have had their struggles lately but Lynch has been really up against it. Royals are 0-6 in his last 6 road starts. His team is on a 1-4 slide while the Tigers are on a 4-1 streak. The Tigers have averaged 6 runs/9 against LHPs while the Royals have averaged only 3.51 runs/9 vs. RHP. If Lynch struggles early his bullpen has had a 4.71 ERA in their L10. The Tigers’ bullpen has had a 3.10 ERA.

When it comes to hitting the Tigers have been hot lately with the 6th best OPS in their L7 while the Royals are mired down near the bottom of the majors. All this adds up to a bucketful of stats that have the Tigers better than 1.5 runs better than the Royals. These are reasons to expect the Tigers to cover the spread.