I know the Rays are tough at home but I just couldn’t pass up this matchup with the Orioles probable pitcher Wells as the underdog. He is on a 3-0 streak and his ERA is a solid 2.89 in June, while his overall WHIP is a miniscule 0.86. His manager thinks he should be getting all-star consideration. He gets his strikeouts (8 or more in 4 of his last 7 starts) and gives up the long ball but the Rays aren’t a hard-hitting team. On top of that, the Rays’ bats have cooled as of late (down to 16th in OPS in the last 15 days) while the Orioles are on fire over the last 15 days with the 3rd best avg. and 7th best OPS in the majors.

Probable starter for the Rays, Bradley is only 22 and as such has run hot and cold. He started as a top rookie in April, went cold in May and has had a .500 record in June. In his last 3 starts he has averaged 4.1 innings pitched, 5.54 ERA and 1.85 WHIP (Wells has 2.89 ERA and 0.96 WHIP over his last 3 starts). The first two months Bradley averaged 15 total innings pitched and is already at 13 in June so he could be near his limit. It could spell trouble for him against the Orioles hot bats.

The Rays bullpen has been good if Bradley needs an early exit but they have 5 relievers out right now so that could be problematic for them.

Offensively in their last 10, the Orioles have scored 6.26 runs/9 and had a .308 avg. vs RHP while the Rays have scored 5.09 and had a .285 avg. in their last 10 vs. RHP. With all of this leaning heavily towards Wells and the Orioles it’s hard not to take the underdog on the Money Line.