The Rangers stumbled to 3-7 over their last 10 games before the break. They are still Top 6 in OPS over the last 2 weeks but are 27th in pitching over the same stretch. Rangers' righty Jon Gray has lost three straight, and 3 of his last 4 starts have been of the poor variety. He was hit very hard (.360 BA) by the Red Sox in his last start. He is up against a very fine right hander in Cleveland's Civale, who has averaged 6+ innings pitched and given up 7 runs total in his last 4 starts. He has an 0.69 ERA with 0 walks in 2 starts in July. He will likely pitch longer than Gray and the Guardians have the better bullpen, but everyone's pen should be rested and ready to go. Cleveland has been hitting much better, for average at least. They are 6-3 in July, 8th in BA over the last two weeks. I like the Guardians chances on Friday. While Texas is power hitting side, it remains to be seen if they will continue to struggle. As good as they have been this year, they are just .500 as a home favorite. Take the Guardians, behind Civale's pitching to keep this one close. Take Cleveland on the Run line at +1 1/2.