The 8-2 Cubs (their L10) are the hottest team in the NL in the last 10 games, absolutely scorching the league on offense (.307 BA, .939 OPS) in their last 15 games. The Reds have a strong offense (.255, .764 OPS) but pale in comparison. The Cubs have crushed the Reds in two of three games in the series, allowing a hefty 21 runs, but scoring 41. Taillon is pitching much better than his season's ERA, allowing just 2 runs in 11+ innings in his last two appearances, with a 2.67 ERA in July. The Reds' right-hander Weaver is off a solid start but previous July appearances were short and poor. He was hit to a .292 Op BA, and gave up 8 home runs in July. The Reds are giving up more runs than they score; the bullpen has struggled to a 6.15 ERA/L10, and has been seriously stretched in the last few games. They'll have a tough time outscoring the Cubs on Monday. Take Chicago to win at home.