Two teams struggling to win (both are 1-4 over their last 5) and struggling at the plate over the last 15 are coming up against a couple of interesting probable starters. Cueto is only five starts into his return from a long layoff but has shown some mastery with a tiny 0.95 WHIP. Although this hasn’t translated into wins for him he has pitched a 1 and 2 ER outing. Ashcraft, the ace of the Reds staff, has been very solid as of late (a 1.89 ERA in July) and an ERA of 2.32 over his last 5 starts.

Both teams are in the bottom half of the majors in avg. and OPS over the last 15 days. The Marlins have averaged 3.4 runs/9 innings over their last 7 games while the Reds have averaged 4.6 run/9 innings over the same stretch.

All of the above combined with the Marlins 1-5 record and the Reds 0-6 record in unders over their last 6 games and you have a solid value pick for Wednesday’s game between these two underachievers. Take the under and enjoy this early win to start your Wednesday plays.