Skubal is an early Cy Young contender in the American League. He's got a 2.08 ERA and a special 0.78 WHIP to start the season. Though Skubal may be averaging 5.7 innings per start, the Detroit bullpen has been terrific. Collectively, Tiger relievers have a 1.70 ERA. Speaking of bullpens, the Texas relievers have a 7.40 ERA and 1.73 WHIP on the road. It is a small sample size but its still an ominous sign.

Dunning may be 2-0 on the road but he's got a 4.77 ERA in those starts. With the Texas hitters facing Skubal, he's not going to get the type of support which he's used to. The Rangers are 1-5 in day games. The Tigers are 8-4 in day games. Skubal outpitched Dunning in a head-to-head matchup in 2021, Skubal winning 4-1. Go with Detroit!