Navy vs. Air Force Under 38
(NCAAF) Navy vs. Air Force,
Total: 38.00 | -110.00 Under
Result: Win
I will be hammering the under (38) in this game between Navy and Air Force. Navy has struggled this season, but the strongest part of their team is their front seven. They have shown that they can slow down the run. This will be key in this game, as the Falcons rarely throw the ball. They will keep it on the ground and continue to keep the clock rolling. Watch for Brad Roberts, as he will continue to touch the ball for the Falcons and he will keep the clock moving. I see Navy shutting down the Falcons on multiple drives, though. They are only allowing 69 rush yards per game, as they have been great against the run all season. Last week, they held Eastern Carolina to 103 yards and the game went to double OT. They only gave up 3.7 yards per carry. They also held Delaware to just 13 rushing yards, as they only allowed .4 yards per carry in that one. They will load the box and keep this game closer than people expect. These games are always different and the under has hit eight of the past ten years. These games have been historically low-scoring, and I see that trend continuing in this one. I also like the Air Force defense, as they are only allowing 16 points per game. They aren't going to allow this Navy offense to move the ball. Yes, they struggled against Wyoming, but that's a tough place to play. They blew out Nevada last week and I see them completely shutting down Navy. Navy is only scoring 14.3 points per game and they struggle to move the ball. I see this score being 24-7 or 21-7, it will be close, but the clock will continue to run and neither team will have a ton of opportunities to score in this game. As long as Navy stops the random play-action passes, their defense will be okay. This will be a low-scoring closer game and the under will hit. I will be hammering the Under (38).