The Diamondbacks have allowed at least five runs in the last four starts made against Madison Bumgarner with the southpaw posting a 7.44 ERA in those games. Bumgarner will be facing a Cardinals team that is first in MLB with a .805 OPS and .346 on-base percentage against lefties. St. Louis has also scored at least five runs in 9 of their last 11 games overall.
On the other side the Cardinals will be sending Dakota Hudson to the mound who has a 5.10 ERA in 11 road starts. The Arizona offense that Hudson will face has scored at least four runs in four of their last six home games. I love the over in this spot.