I've wrestled with this one earlier in the week, but each day as more information is available, and I research deeper I can't pass on New England in this spot. I was on the Steelers last week, and they pulled out a OT win but they also had a 5-0 edge in the turnover battle.
The Patriots lost at Miami in the opener, but they also lost to Miami in the opener last year, before going on the road to beat the Jets in Week 2. In fact New England won their first six road games of the season last year. I have also come across some other systems that heavily favor the Patriots here.