Based upon recent history, home field, and preseason expectations the oddsmakers cannot discredit Utah State too much, but UNLV is a road favorite for a reason. These teams have had drastically different results this season with UNLV 3-0 ATS and Utah State 0-3 ATS.
I think the market is waiting to see if this UNLV team is for real and if Utah State is really as bad as they've shown. But based on what both teams have shown, UNLV should win this game by at least a touchdown.