The Iowa State defense is 11th in the nation for the fewest yards per play allowed and has held the same rank over the last three games. Unfortunately for Cyclones fans, they have only scored more than 24 points in one of their last eight games against a Power-5 opponent. With two teams that throw the ball better than they run it, I don't expect to see a lot of points with 21 mph winds in the forecast on a day with temperatures well below freezing. The under has cashed in eight of the 10 Iowa State games this season, and the under is 5-1 in Texas Tech's last six games played on a grass surface.