It's going to be a cold night in Athens, Ohio, but that's ok with only a 5% chance of rain. Also these are Ohio teams, who know how to prepare for the weather.
Bowling Green showed up offensively last week on a cold night against Toledo, pulling out all the stops in a must-win game. Now the Falcons face the explosive Ohio offense in a game that both teams need to win to advance to the MAC Championship game. With so much on the line, there is no room to get comfortable and conservative. Both teams also need to rely on their quarterbacks to make most of the plays as well, more than they can count on running the ball.
The over is 6-1 in Ohio's last seven home games, and the over is 5-0 in Bowling Green's last five road games.
I am going with the over.