Sam Houston State has been a dominant defensive team rated 38th in adjusted efficiency and will be facing a UL Monroe squad that is only 313th in adjusted offensive efficiency and has struggled defensively as well. The Warhawks have padded some numbers with three wins over non-Division I schools but are 0-7 straight up when facing a D1 foe. The UL Monroe Warhawks are also 0-3 against the spread as an underdog in the +7 to +16 range this season.
Sam Houston State is 15-5-1 in its last 21 games against the spread when facing a team with a winning percentage below .400. They have also been a much more impressive team with a win over Oklahoma this season. The Bearkats also dominated the boards ranking first in the country with a +14.3 rebounding edge per game.
Take the Sam Houston State Bearkats, as I expect them to win this game by at least 17 points.