Obviously no Roethlisberger and this is a big, big loss. Yes even more than the oddsmakers have accounted for. Benji completed 75 percent of his passes through his first three games. His 95.7 Total QBR through his first two games was the best in the NFL. Now Mike Vick, a 100-year-old guy takes over.

Teams as road favorites off consecutive losses as favorites are 10-5-1 since 2005. That of course points to the Ravens. Ravens three losses by 14 points, all one play away from victory. They are much better than their record.

This is a situation where the Ravens regress to the mean and take advantage of Pittsburgh minus their star player.