Miami won this first meeting by 9 points and it looks like Rondo is throwing off the Mavericks team chemistry as Dallas has been struggling.

I dont believe the Mavs can cover this large opener considering they are on a 0-4 SU & ATS run. The losses were to Houston, Memphis, New Orleans and Chicago. Overall Dallas has a favorable net point differential of almost 18 points in the matchup, but this does not necessarily project a spread victory. Home standing Miami has won 7 straight in the series and Dallas is 3-12-1 ATS after an ATS loss and 0-7-1 ATS off a SU loss. Too many points here and I am backing the Heat plus the points.