The Canadiens finished second in the Eastern Conference this season while the Senators were seventh. However, Ottawa has a red hot goalie in Andrew Hammond, whose 20-1-2 record backed the Sens' improbable end-of-season run to the playoffs. Ottawa is red hot and playing playoff hockey the last 2 months. They are the more physical team and I like them to win game 1 and also the series here.

The Canadiens also went 1-3-0 against the Senators this season. They were outscored 14-9 and I think the Senators have the edge. Home ice doesn't mean much when you have a hot goalie in there.
Play OTTAWA as a nice underdog.