I don't trust JP Happ against the Red Sox tonight and he's been terrible here. In six home starts, he's got a 5.93 ERA. Last time here, Happ lost against Baltimore, giving up two home runs in five innings. The Red Sox go with Chris Sale, on the other hand, has a respectable 3.97 ERA in six road starts, to go along with a stingy 0.971 WHIP.

He is off a quality start against Houston. With the Red Sox a dominant 40-15 the past 55 times that they were off two or more consecutive losses, I'm backing Boston here to grab a win in the Bronx.