Ohio State is coming off a very physical game with a 28-17 home win against Penn State.

Michigan has quietly looked like a top tier squad in the Big Ten over the past month going 4-0 with blowout wins coming against teams like Notre Dame, Michigan State, and in their last outing on the road against Indiana. Michigan is finally playing great on both sides of the ball.
This rivalry game also likely means a lot more to the Wolverines given the recent history.

Michigan gets the home field advantage and likely has more motivation coming into this heated rivalry affair. The Wolverines are on a four-game winning streak during which they've scored an average of 41.5 points. They've covered the spread in each of their last five games and the underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings between these teams.
Michigan QB Shea Patterson threw five touchdown passes last week in a 39-14 win at Indiana. Patterson and the Wolverines are peaking at the right time.
I'm taking the points with Michigan here in this early kickoff.