10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK (+$18K NBA!)
(NBA) Philadelphia vs. Miami,
Total: 209.00 | -102.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER 76ers/Heat.

This total is low, because Joel Embiid is out for the 76ers. Miami opened a 4-point favorite, but it's now closer to -7.5.

Embiid is a dominating offensive juggernaut, but Philadelphia will have to find ways to compenstate. Expect the visitors to shoot plenty from range today.

Philadelphia has allowed just 103 PPG so far in the playoffs, but that was against Toronto and with Embiid in the lineup. To be successful in the playoffs means making adjustments from series to series and from game to game.

The 76ers can't be the same team they were against the Raptors without Embiid in the line-up. It's impossible. Doc Rivers will be re-tooling his approach to counter this aggressive Miami defense.

The Heat have conceded just 95.2 PPG so far in the playoffs, dominating the Hawks in five games.

Perception from each team's lower-scoring first round series, has driven this Game 1 total a few points lower than it normally should be.

Throw all previous game plans for both teams out the window with Embiid out.

I expect a wide-open, faster-paced game that flies well OVER the number as the game comes down the stretch.

Good luck, NP