Both teams come into this game playing well. The Steelers have won their last 3 while scoring more than 30 points for the first time this season in two of those games. The Bills came on strong down the stretch and were able to overcome the Dolphins and take the AFC East for the fourth straight time. I am not putting a lot of stock in their last win against the Ravens as Baltimore rested a lot of starters. Tj Watt and his 19 sacks will be missed in this game as the Steelers try and slow down Josh Allen and the Bills. Running back Najee Harris may also miss this game with a bad knee. If Harris cant fo it will be a huge loss for the Steelers as they like to pound the ball on the ground and use a two-back approach. The Steelers score 17.9 points per game while allowing 19.1. Pitt has averaged 27 points over their last 3 games. There was talk of the Bills missing the playoffs after starting 5-5 but winning six of their last seven to be the team no one wants to play. Not only does Buffalo have a top ofFense they have a top defense also. They are putting up 26.5 points per game which is 6th in the league. The defense allows a 4th-ranked 18.3 points per game. By moving the game to Monday, the wind will not be as strong and the snow should have finished. The Bills have won by more than 10 points 5 times this season but never when they were supposed to, failing to cover a double-digit spread three times this season. The Steelers are 10-7 against the number and haven’t been gifted double-digits all season. The largest Pittsburgh has been a dog this year is 4.5. I lean on Buffalo in this one.

Play on Buffalo. This is a free play.