The Leafs may be on tired legs after playing the Panthers last night but this series with the Lightning is an explosive series as far as goals scored. The Lightning have gone over the total in 12 of their last 14 home games with the Toronto. Tampa Bay is also off a blowout win over the Rangers and they are 9-2 to the Over this season in that situation. The Leafs are 7-1 to the Over when playing 3 or less games in 10 days this season as well as going over in seven of their last ten road games in general. Both are averaging well over 3.5 goals per game in their last several games overall. This game will have some goals so the value is in the Over.

Best bet: take Over the Total.