#959/960 ASA PLAY ON Over 7.5 or 8 Runs – Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres, Sunday at 4:10 PM ET - The ball was carrying very well, to say the least, in yesterday's game between these teams in San Diego. The final score was 6-4 and though the final 4 runs came on a 2-out grand slam in the top of the 9th, the bigger story yesterday was how the runs were scored. The 10 runs came via a grand slam, a 3-run homer, a 2-run home run, and a solo bomb! Yes, all 10 runs via the long ball. On a warm afternoon game in San Diego Sunday we expect the ball to carry just as well, if not even better. We get line value here because the two starting pitchers scheduled for this one have low ERA numbers but a deeper dive shows some important factors. The Padres Michael King has a higher ERA at home than on the road and a higher ERA in day games compared to night games. He is 1-2 at home and 0-3 in day games. The Brewers Tobias Myers has allowed 5 homers in 18 innings over his 4 day games starts. Myers has pitched better recently but it is hard to ignore those numbers and he was getting hit quite hard in wrapping up May also. He is still a rookie and here he faces a Padres team that has scored 6.5 runs per victory during their current 4-game winning streak. The Brewers have scored an average of 5 runs per game over their last 9 road games. 8 of the 9 games totaled at least 8 runs! The Padres have had 7 of last 9 home games total at least 9 runs! San Diego has scored an average of 7 runs in those 9 games! We would not be surprised to see each team get to the 4-run mark here and we see at least 9 runs as a result in this one. Our computer math model shows a range of 10 to 11 as the most likely occurrence with the final run tally here and many simulations show a final run tally in the range of 12 runs here. Over is the call in this one in Sunday late afternoon action.