We really like the under in this matchup. The line is influenced by the 6-4 final in the series opener, but this looks like an overreaction. Padres starter Michael King has been sharp with a 2.42 ERA through four outings in 2025, and while Astros right-hander Hayden Wesneski carries a 4.00 ERA, he's given up just 10 hits with 21 strikeouts across 18 innings. We expect both pitchers to keep things in check.

This is a 4% play on the under.