The New York Mets and the Los Angeles Dodgers are tied at 2-2 of this NLDS and will play a deciding Game 5 at Dodger Stadium Thursday. The winner will face the Cubs in the NLCS, and I think we'll see a tight low-scoring contest with two real studs on the mound.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - The Mets hand the ball to Jacob deGrom (14-8, 2.54 ERA) who has been dominant all season long and opened his post-season career by hurling seven scoreless innings of five-hit ball here at Dodger Stadium in the series-opener. He held the Dodgers to two hits over 7 2/3 innings of work in the regular-season and has a .175 BAA over 57 at bats versus them. The Dodgers counter with Zack Greinke (19-3, 1.66 ERA) who held the Mets to two runs on five hits in seven innings of a 5-2 win in Game 2 of the series. He has allowed two or fewer earned runs in each of his last five starts and conceded only two runs in 14 innings over two regular-season meetings with the Mets this year.

2. Situational - The under is 4-1 in the Mets last five games following an off day and six of their last eight overall have gone under the total. The under is 5-2 in the Dodgers last seven playoff games and 11-2 in Greinke's last 13 starts with four days of rest.

3. X-Factor - The Mets had just three hits in Tuesday's 3-1 loss and their .206 batting average in the post-season is the worst of all teams in the divisional series.

Selection: This is a play on NYM@LAD to go under the total (10*)