The Louisiana Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns will host the Warhawks of Louisiana Monroe this Saturday, and the home team is favored by double-digits. This should be a pretty big mismatch as the Warhawks are 0-6 this season versus FBS teams, with all six of those games being decided by double-digits. I don't think the line here is quite high enough.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - The Ragin' Cajuns have won six of their last seven versus ULM, and they covered the spread in four of those six victories. TheWarhawks are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 conference games.

2. ULM Defense - The Warhawks rank 111th nationally in scoring defense, allowing opponents to average over 36 points per game. They've allowed 40 points per game while going 0-3 versus teams from the Sun Belt Conference.

3. X-Factor - The Ragin' Cajuns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games, and they beat Texas State by a score of 49-27 in their only home game versus a conference opponent.

Selection: This is a play on the Ragin' Cajuns (Free)