*8* SURE SHOT on the UNDER Ohio/Bowling Green.

When you think of the Bowling Green Falcons, the last thing that comes to mind is defense. The Falcons have a stud at quarterback in Matt Johnson who is second in the FBS in passing yards, just 10 yards back of Patrick Mahomes of Texas Tech. Their defense is doing a great job in recent weeks though, and they pitched a shutout in a win at Kent State on Saturday. My money is on the under with a great big number in tonight's game versus Ohio.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - These two conference rivals have failed to reach the total in each of the last four head to head meetings. Bowling Green won last year by a score of 31-13, and the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings.

2. Bowling Green O-line - The Falcons offensive line might be missing a pair of key players in Logan Dietz and Christian Piazza.

3. X-Factor - The Under is 29-14 in Falcons last 43 conference games, and 8-3 in their last 11 overall.

Selection: This is a play on the Bobcats@Falcons to go UNDER the total (8*)