Rogers' 10* MAC SIDE OF THE WEEK (43-29 +$9,965 Y-T-D NCAAF!)
(NCAAF) Toledo vs. Central Michigan,
Point Spread: 4.00 | -106.00 Central Michigan (Home)
Result: Loss
*10* MAC SIDE OF WEEK on Central Michigan.

The Central Michigan Chippewas will host the Toledo Rockets in a Tuesday night game in the MAC. Both teams are 4-1 in conference play, but the visitors come in as a significant favorite with a superior overall record of 7-1. Central Michigan has four losses, but they played a much tougher schedule with losses against Oklahoma State and Michigan State. I'll take the home team getting points.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Home Cookin' - The Chippewas are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games, and the home team is 6-2 ATS in the last six meetings between these two conference rivals.

2. Phillip Ely - Toledo's quarterback is coming off his worst performance of the season, completing just 15-of-33 passes for 136 yards with one TD and a pair of interceptions in the home loss to NIU. He's been picked off five times in his last two starts.

3. X-Factor - The Rockets are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.

Selection: This is a play on the Central Michigan Chippewas (10*)