*10* SURE SHOT on Denver Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets will host the Houston Rockets on Monday night, and they will be a home dog in this spot. The Rockets have won five of their last six overall, but they are just .500 on the road for the season. The Nuggets are heating up, winning three of their last four, with wins over Toronto, Philly and Minnesota. I like the home team getting points.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Danilo Gallinari - The 27 year old SF has scored 20+ points in all three of the Nuggets last three wins. The Nuggets have won seven of nine this season when he scores at least 20 points.

2. Previous History - The Rockets are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine trips to Denver, and they have failed to cover in 11 of their last 16 overall versus the Nuggets.

3. X-Factor - The Nuggets out-rebounded the Wolves 50-42 in their last game, and they rank 11th in the NBA in rebounding, averaging 45 RPG.

Selection: This is a play on the Denver Nuggets (10*)