The set-up: Miguel Cabrera returned from the DL last night for Detroit and hit his 450th career HR, helping the Tigers to a third straight win, 5-2 over the Indians. It also marked the Tigers' fourth win in five outings this season versus the Indians, who won last year's Central Division (Tigers finished eight games back). With two wins in this four-game series so far, the Tigers are now tied at 14-12 with the Indians, as the AL Central has four teams at the top of the division (Twins and White Sox are the others), all within a half-game of each other.

The pitching matchup: Carlos Carrasco (2-2 & 2.04 ERA) takes the mound for Cleveland up against Detroit's Matthew Boyd (2-1 & 3.86 ERA). Carrasco hasn't had much run support this season, as the Indians hav escored just 12 runs during his 35 1/3 innings, leaving him a modest 2-2 in five starts (team is 3-2), despite his 2.04 ERA, 0.79 WHIP and .175 opponents BA. Carrasco doesn't have a strong record against Detroit, going 5-7 with a 5.14 ERA in 15 career starts (team is 7-8). Boyd got the better of Carrasco in the April 16 outing after yielding just one run in six innings to improve to 1-0 with an 0.84 ERA in two career outings versus Cleveland. He comes into this game off back-to-back no-decisions in his last two trips to the mound.

The pick: Detroit's four wins (in just five games) matches the team's total against the division champions of 2016. Carlos Carrasco's 2016 season ended abruptly against the Detroit Tigers in 2016 when he sustained a fractured right hand after he was struck by an Ian Kinsler line drive last September.when. However, he has returned with a vengeance this season and enters off four straight quality starts. He finally gets some support and gets some revenge against Boyd, from that 4-1 April 16th loss. Make Cleveland an 8* play.