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(MLB) Philadelphia vs. Arizona,
Total: 9.00 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
The set-up: The Phillies took the opener of this four-game series in Arizona but the D'backs won on both Saturday and Sunday, with yesterday's win taking 11 innings. Arizona's 2-1 victory gives the D'backs a 28-10 record at home (only the Dodgers own a better home-field mark) and 11 wins in their last 13 games, overall. The D'backs trail the Dodgers by 2 1/2 games in the NL West but do own MLB's top moneyline mark (plus-$1964). First baseman Paul Goldschmidt had two hits and a RBI on Sunday and is hitting .423 with five HRs and 18 RBI over his last 12 games. He leads the team with a .332 BA and leads all of MLB with 65 RBI. As for the Phillies, they head into Monday's series finale with MLB's worst overall record (24-50), its worst road record (10-30) and its second-worst moneyline mark (minus-$2123).

The pitching matchup: Nick Pivetta (1-3 & 4.46 ERA) gets the start for Philadelphia and Zack Greinke (8-4 & 3.14 ERA) for Arizona. Pivetta may have just one win in his eight starts of 2017 but he has struck out 46 batters over 42 1/3 innings. He has registered 19 strikeouts over his last two outings and has shown improved control of late with a total of just three walks in those last two, as well. Pivetta will be facing Arizona for the first time. Greinke pitched well for seven innings last Tuesday against Colorado but ran into trouble in the eighth and took the loss after being charged with four runs over 7 1/3 innings. He's having a solid year and as has been typical for him, he's been outstanding in his home park. Greinke is 6-0 in eight home starts (D'backs are 7-1), posting a 2.77 ERA and 0.92 WHIP. His career numbers vs. the Phillies are strong, as he's 7-1 with a 2.54 ERA in 10 career games (nine starts / teams are 6-3).

The pick: The Diamondbacks have won 14 of their past 17 overall and 13 of their last 15 at home. Meanwhile, the Phillies continue in go in the opposite direction, having lost 15 of their last 18 games, overall. As noted above, they own MLB's worst road record (averaging only 3.55 RPG) and after winning the series opener Friday have scored only three runs in 20 innings! Monday night Philadelphia faces Greinke, who is once again dominating visiting teams in his home park. Make the Under a 10* play.