Rogers' Tuesday TOTAL MASSACRE >> 4-1 BOWL RUN!
(NCAAF) Kansas State vs. UCLA,
Total: 60.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
The set-up: The 7-5 Kansas State Wildcats (5-4 in Big-12) will take on the 6-6 UCLA Bruins (4-5 in Pac-12) in the Cactus Bowl at Chase Field in Phoenix. The Wildcats finished the season strong, winning four of their last five games and will be participating in their 8th consecutive bowl game. The Bruins had an up and down season but were able to reach a bowl game after their 30-27 victory over the California Golden Bears on the last weekend of the season. However, after its Nov. 18th loss to USC, UCLA decided to part ways with head coach Jim Mora. The Bruins have already made a big splash with the hire of Chip Kelly but that's for next season, UCLA will be led by interim head coach Jedd Fisch in this one.
Kansas State: QB Jesse Ertz (55.0% for 930 yards with 7 TDs and 3 INTs plus 336 rushing yards with 3 TDs) was lost for the season after just five games. Alex Delton initially took over for Ertz but missed the last three games of the season due to an injury and is currently questionable due to a head injury. That would leave Skylar Thompson, whose 63.2 completion percentage is the best of the three QBs. RB Alex Barnes has 702 yards (5.2 YPC & 6 TDS), leading a solid group which averages 186.7 YPG (41st). The offense is not pretty but KSU comes in averaging 32.1 PPG (37th). Defensively, the Wildcats are allowing 25.8 PPG (60th) on 432.0 YPG (97th).

UCLA: QB Josh Rosen finished the regular season 10th in the FBS in passing yards with 3,717 (62.5% with 26 TDs and 10 INTs) but he has been slowed by injuries the past two seasons and twice was unable to finish a game this fall. He was replaced against California after getting sacked three times in the first half but he has since returned to practice and appears ready to go against Kansas State.
However, while UCLA ranks fifth with 345.3 YPG through the air, no RB has as much as 600 yards rushing and teh etam checks in at q120.3 YPG on teh ground, ranking 120th. The defense is sieve, allowing 36.8 PPG (119th) on 488.8 YPG (123rd).

The pick: Some (many) expected QB Zach Rosen to go the Christian McCaffrey-Leonard Fournette route and opt out of the bowl before his likely early entry into the NFL draft (more than a few believe he's the best prospect) but all indicators are that he's a go for this game. Why not? The Kansas State pass D is awful, ranking 129th in allowing 310.2 YPG. However, given the coaching situation and distractions in preparation caused by fires in the L.A. area, I'm not all that convinced the Bruins will bring their "A game." Kansas State is making its eighth consecutive bowl appearance -- a streak that is tied for 13th in the FBS -- and its 19th under coach Bill Snyder, who twice has turned the program around, once following a short retirement.I say Under is worth an 8* play.