Rogers' 10* TOTAL DOMINATION >> Won *10* GOW Friday! 4-0 NBA Run!
(NBA) Dallas vs. Denver,
Total: 209.00 | -105.00 Over
Result: Win
The set-up: The Nuggets have won back-to-back games to end a 2-6 slide to reach 25-23 on the season. After shooting below 50 percent in 10 straight games, the Nuggets hit 60 percent of their shot attempts in a 130-118 win over the New York Knicks on Thursday to improve to 2-1 on this current five-game homestand. The Nuggets welcome the Mavericks to the Pepsi Center tonight, a team they knocked off back on Jan. 16 right here. That loss was part of Dallas' recent 1-5 slide, which gives them a 16-33 mark. This visit to Denver begins a stretch in which Dallas plays eight of 11 on the road, where the Mavs have gone 6-16 on the season.

Dallas: The Mavs have no illusions of making the playoffs this year, as they are well on their way to a second consecutive losing season. Building for the future seems to be priority No. 1, so it seems likely that the Mavs will move some player(s) as the NBA trade deadline nears. One wouldn't think that would include Harrison Barnes, the team's leading scorer (18.4) and rebounder (6.8), or prized rookie PG Dennis Smith Jr. (14.8-3.1-3.9). The Mavs were once a good offensive team but that's no longer the case, as Dallas checks in averaging only 102.2 PPG, to rank 24th of 30 teams.

Denver: Veteran Wilson Chandler was moved to the bench and the shift seemed to spark the 30-year-old forward in Thursday's win. Chandler made 6-of-9 shots en route to 16 points in his best shooting effort since Jan. 3. The Nuggets' focus on a faster pace has led to two straight wins and a spot back in the Western Conference playoff picture. The Nuggets had fallen behind the LA Clippers after losing six of eight games but have now passed L.A. to sit in the eighth position. The Nuggets have recommitted to a high-octane offense and that offense clicked on all cylinders when it scored 130 points against the Knicks. Leading scorer Harris (17.2) scored 23 points and Trey Lyles (10.8 & 5.0) had 21 on 9-of-12 shooting to pace had to Denver. Center Nikola Jokic (16.2-10.3-5.1) had 29 points, 18 rebounds and seven assists in Denver's 105-102 home win on Jan. 16 over the Mavs. Jokic has carried a big load with PF Millsap (15.3 & 6.2) out until around late-Feb.

The pick: These teams have met twice so far this season, with the home team capturing both. Dallas nearly rallied to win that Jan. 16 game in Denver and the Nuggets are just 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10. It would not be surprising to see Dallas keep this close and to do that, it figures to be a lower scoring game than the over/under number indicates. That's my bet. Make the Under a 10* play.