The set-up: I base my picks on many different things. One thing I almost always take into account is scheduling. For the most part, that's what I'm basing this selection on. The Flyers have been rolling of late, but after a humbling 4-1 loss at home to the Penguins, I think they'll predictably come out flat here. On the other end of the ice, the Wild come in extremely focused on the task at hand as they've lost five of their last six games. From a "situational" stand point, there's no question that this one sets up fantastically for the home side.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Flyers are still only 12-14 (-5.7 units) this season vs. teams with losing records, while the Wild are 11-8 (+2.1 units) in their last 19 following a non-conference game. Lay the price, expect a rout.

10* play