The set-up: I like 7-5 Western Michigan to pull off the minor upset vs. 8-4 WKU. The Hilltoppers have a decent offense, but they're led by their defense which allows 20.1 PPG. WMU though will be especially motivated here in my opinion because of the way its season ended. The Broncos lost to NIU 17-14 in their finale, which cost them a shot in the MAC Title game. WMU's offense though is among the best in the nation, averaging 34.2 PPG, behind a 24th ranked rushing attack. WKU QB Ty Storey has a weak 12:5 TD:INT. WMU is 69th in the country in defending the pass and 94th vs. the run.

The pick: I'll point out though that WMU is 6-0 ATS in its last six following an ATS loss and 9-4 ATS in its last 13 after scoring less than 20 points in its previous contest, while WKU is only 5-13 ATS in its last 18 as a favorite. WMU has a balanced offense as mentioned above, led by RB LeVante Ballamy, who has 1,412 rushing yards and 23 TD's. I'm expecting the outright, but in the end I'll grab the points.

8* BLOWOUT on WMU.