The set-up: I think the Pens offer great value to upset the Knights at home here. Pittsburgh comes in having lost two of its last three, so it won't be lacking for motivation here. Despite that the Pens still average the seventh most goals in the league this season. Las Vegas on the other is poised for a letdown here in my opinion after winning four in a row. Good news for Pittsburgh tonight is that Matt Murray will start in net and he's 12-6-4 with a 2.92 GAA and it's won his last two starts. The Golden Knights counter with Marc Andre Fleury who is 18-8-3, but note that in his last two wins the Knights have allowed four goals in each.

The pick: Note as well that Pittsburgh is 14-7 (+5.5 units) this year in revenging a loss vs. an opponent and 9-4 (+5.2 units) after allowing four goals or more in its previous outing, while Las Vegas is just 8-9 (-3.2 units) this season vs. clubs with winning records.

10* play on the Penguins.