The set-up: The Pens are 7-2-1 in their last ten, but after winning back to back road games, I think the visiting side has a letdown here. Conversely, the Coyotes are in full on bounce back mode. They're just 5-5 in their last ten and they enter off back to back losses. Pittsburgh has been playing great over the last month, but note that it's still ranked just 15th in the league in goals allowed per game when on the road. And note that Arizona is ranked seventh in the NHL in goals allowed per game when at home.

The pick: Arizona is also 8-2 (+5.9 units) this year after a loss by two goals or more in its previous game. I think the Pens finally have that road letdown vs. this now extremely focussed home side.

10* COACH'S CORNER on the Arizona Coyotes.