The set-up: I'm expecting a lower-scoring battle between the 17-0 SDSU Aztecs and the 5-11 Fresno State Bulldogs. The Bulldog and Aztecs have already played once this season and SDSU won by nine points at home on January 1st. Overall SDSU averages 75.9 PPG, but it's been getting the job done most nights with its amazing defense, which allows just 57 PPG. So that's not the greatest news for Fresno State today, which enters on a four-game losing streak and which averages only 69.6 PPG. The Bulldogs though have been fantastic defensively, allowing just 66.7 PPG.

The pick: Note as well that SDSU has seen the total go under the number in nine of its last 11 after two straight covers as a double-digit favorite, while Fresno State has seen the total dip below the number in three of its last four as a home dog. Everything points to a lower-scoring war between these conference foes.

10* CONF-TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER SDSU/Fresno State.