The set-up: These teams are similar. Neither plays great defense and each has an above average offense. Each is filled with plenty of offensive talent as well. Both teams are coming off high-scoring victories, but I believe that the stage is now finally set for more of a defensive affair between these two top Western Conference teams.

The pick: The trends support this theory as well, as note that the Clippers have seen the total go under the number in five of their last seven when playing with two days rest and in all seven of their games this season as a road underdog, while Dallas has seen the total dip under the number in four of its last five in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. I think each team doubles down defensively tonight to try and earn this victory.

10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the UNDER Clippers/Mavericks.