The set-up: Toronto can beat any team on any given night. Bust so can the Stars. Ultimately I believe we're getting great line value on this under-rated home team. Both teams came out of the break and posted a victory. Toronto's been decent offensively, averaging 3.60 GPG, but it's had to be, as it allows the eighth highest amount in the defensive end by conceding 3.26 GPG. Dallas is 16-7-2 at home this year. The Stars only average 2.57 GPG, but they only allow 2.43.

The pick: Dallas plays with revenge here, as it's lost eight of the last ten in this series, including four of the last five in front of the home town crowd. This is the final home game before an Eastern road swing for Dallas, making tonight's game even more important. Toronto on the other hand can't help in getting caught looking ahead to a night off, followed by a "cream puff" at home vs. the Senators. I think Toronto's vastly over-priced in this one.

10* NON-CONF BLOWOUT GAME OF THE YEAR on Dallas Stars.