The set-up: Dallas beat the Rangers 5-2 last night, but I think it'll struggle on Long Island to find the back of the net vs. the stingy Islanders. Previous to last night's win the Stars beat the Devils 3-2 in OT on the road. It's difficult to win on the road and I think Dallas finally has a letdown here. The Isles on the other hand are eager to get back into the winners circle here after a 4-3 OT loss to Vancouver. Overall Dallas averages 2.59 GPG and it allows 2.49. Overall New York averages 2.86 GPG and it allows just 2.68. However note, not only do the Isles have the home ice advantage and the advantage of catching the Stars on the second game of a back-to-back, but they also play with "revenge" after falling 3-1 in Dallas earlier in the year.

The pick: Despite the back-to-back road wins, I'll also point out that NY is just 40-44 (-13.8 units) in its last 84 non-conference games. The Isles on the other hand are 6-2 (+3.8 units) this season when playing with two days rest and 9-3 (+6.1 units) after allowing four or more goals in their previous outing. All things considered, I believe this to be the very definition of "great line value."

10* GAME OF THE MONTH on the New York Islanders.