The set-up: The Stars return home after a successful 2-1 road trip, but eager to return to the winners circle after a 4-3 OT loss in Long Island in their finale. With much tougher games upcoming tomorrow night in St. Louis, followed by contests vs. Carolina, Toronto and Montreal, I believe the Stars double down on the defensive end vs. the Wild, who enter having to play the second game of a back-to-back, with Vancouver in Minnesota on Thursday night. The Wild struggle with offensive consistency on the road and I think fatigue will help in driving this number under the number as well.

The pick: Additionally note that Dallas has seen the total go under the number in eight of its last 12 home games after an OT loss in which it allowed four or more goals in. Considering the situational and statistical factors listed above, I believe this number is too high.

1* FREE PLAY on the under Wild/Stars.