The set-up: The Seminoles come in at 20-3 and off a 99-81 win over Miami, while Duke is 20-3, barely holding on for a 98-96 win over UNC on the road in OT last time out. While each team played to a high-scoring affair last time out, I think each doubles down defensively in this high-profile, nationally televised game on Monday night. FSU will be looking to clean up its play, as despite winning last time out, it did go on to commit 19 turnovers. Duke had its hands full as well in its win, as it trailed by 9 at half time.

The pick: Situationally I think this one sets up as more of a defensive affair, but also note that FSU has seen the total go under the number in three of its last four as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range, while Duke has seen the total fall under the number in three of its last four after two no-covers where the team won SU as a favorite. This number is a little high.

10* PLAY ON THE UNDER FSU/Duke.