The set-up: Orlando is one of the stingiest defensive teams in the league and it's even better at home. The Wolves like to push the pace and rarely do they ever worry about playing defense, but I still think the visiting side will have a difficult time moving the ball here today vs. this determined home side. And after a road win over the Heat, would anyone fault the lowly Wolves if they did have a letdown here? The Magic have won four of their last five and they've scored at least 110 points or more in those games, but I think the last thing the home side wants to do is to turn this one into a "track meet" with the high-flying Wolves. From a situational stand point, I absolutely believe this one sets up as a lower-scoring "under."

The pick: Note as well that Minnesota has seen the total go under the number in five of its last six off an upset win as an underdog, while Orlando has seen the total dip below the posted number in 15 of its last 21 as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. This number is way too high in my opinion.

10* TOTAL ELITE OF THE ELITE on the UNDER Wolves/Magic.